Last night was a very bad one for Adrian Dix and the New Democrats, who expected victory as much as the pollsters did. And with good reason: a stabilizing, maybe even growing, lead over the B.C.
I remain unconvinced that our current 'first-past-the-post' electoral system is in dire need of reform or is the best of a list of bad options, just as I am unconvinced that proportional ...
In all, the seat projection made the right call in 69 of 85 ridings for an accuracy rating of 81.2%, while the potential winner was correctly identified (by way of the projection ranges) in 73 of 85 ...
The 2015 federal election was a success for the polling industry, with the results of the election within the margins of error for most of the pollsters. The results ...
The Greens are looking to make a splash in 2015. This past weekend, Les coulisses du pouvoir on Radio-Canada interviewed the appropriately named Daniel Green, who is one of the Green Party's deputy ...
In my article for the CBC today, I've taken a look at the various proposals for electoral reform and what they would mean in terms of seats. The Conservatives want to stick with first-past-the-post, ...
In terms of the seat count, the NDP is now projected to win between 113 and 140 seats, up significantly from the pre-hiatus update which did have the NDP overlapping with the Conservatives but still ...
The seat count has moved slightly, with the PQ down one seat to 66, the Liberals up two to 54, and the CAQ down one to just three. The likely ranges give the PQ 58 to 73 seats, straddling the line of ...
It is a close race, which is in step with the last two polls we have seen out of the province from Léger (31% to 26% in favour of Wildrose in June, 33% to 29% in August-September). While that is, ...
These are horrible numbers for the Progressive Conservatives. They have now dropped in four consecutive Léger polls going back to January 2013, when the party was at 40% support. The score of 25% is ...
Quebecers in four ridings will be heading to the polls yet again on Monday, as four by-elections are being held in the province to fill vacancies in the National Assembly. And based on the history of ...
If the election in British Columbia has convinced me of anything, it is that there needs to be a greater culture of transparency and disclosure in the polling industry and a more healthy relationship ...