From testing, Delphi-2Ms’ predictions matched or exceeded the accuracy of current models for most diseases. It also proved to ...

The Next Gen Stats team is excited to debut a series of new advanced metrics for the 2020 NFL season. As the NGS toolbox of advanced metrics grows each season, our ability to analyze the game takes ...

Classical statistical approaches for multiclass probability estimation are typically based on regression techniques such as multiple logistic regression, or density estimation approaches such as ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract This paper presents methods for computing aggregate change in probabilities of a binary dependent variable from changes in distributions of ...

Rather than hindering the creation of new knowledge, large language models can significantly enhance its development.

Football has often been described as a game won in the trenches. For years, however, quantifying the performance of individual blockers and pass rushers remained a challenge. Traditional statistics ...

Ned Davis Research's Global Recession Probability Model is at 98.1%, the group wrote in a recent note. The only other times the indicator reached this level was in 2020 and 2008-2009. Most asset ...