The editorial staff of the British magazine The Economist and annual special issue editor-in-chief Tom Standage published ...

To get an idea of how an election will shake out, a person might look at polling data. Increasingly, they might also look at a candidate’s odds on a prediction market, where users place bets against ...

Research HubBespoke research, primers, and quarterly updates trusted by allocators and protocol teams. Exchange BenchmarkThe institutional standard for evaluating exchange transparency, market ...

Pollsters approach this year’s midterm elections dogged by high-profile misfires in recent elections while facing challenges from brash rivals intent on reshaping the landscape of political forecasts.

Prediction markets, which allow users to trade on the outcome of events, have seen a significant increase in popularity. Kalshi, the first federally regulated prediction market, is now focusing on ...

Prediction market platforms saw volumes grow after two earlier events: the presidential election in 2024, and the start of the NFL season in 2025. The current NFL season opened on Wednesday night, and ...